In the lead-up to the 2022 midterms, pollsters uniformly predicted a red wave. This seemed a harmless prediction as our fickle American electorate often engages in buyer’s remorse a mere two years after a presidential election. But what actually happened was the exact opposite of that polling. While not exactly a blue wave, Democrats performed well enough for the election to be considered not just an upset but a full-throated rejection of MAGA.
How did the pollsters get it so wrong?
And how did Simon Rosenberg get it so right?In this episode, we talk to the long-time Democratic strategist and creator of Hopium Chronicles about his lonely prediction of a blue surge, the difference between quantifiable data and opinion polls, why progressives have been so successful over the last three elections, and what we all need to do to keep our democracy out of the hands of right-wing wackos moving forward. Hopium = Hope with a Plan. Let's do this!
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