The NIDS View

In this episode, Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss the role of artificial intelligence (AI) in nuclear command and control systems, referencing a recent WOTR article that suggests using a risk assessment model similar to that in civilian nuclear power. They examine the challenges of integrating AI into decision-making, the associated human factors, and the potential benefits and risks for nuclear deterrence. The conversation also touches on U.S.-China dynamics concerning AI in nuclear decisions and emphasizes the need for informed discussions about AI technologies.Disclaimer: The views of the hosts and guests are their own and do not reflect the views of any affiliations they may have.

Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss a recent article by Madelyn Creedon and Frank Miller that highlights the urgent need for nuclear modernization and suggests bypassing the lengthy process of a 2025 NPR to maintain progress. The conversation explores the advantages and disadvantages of a new NPR and its contribution to timely deterrence strategies, government policies, and its influence on corporate responsiveness within the defense sector.

Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss the implications of Russia's updated nuclear doctrine in light of White House approval to let Ukraine launch US-made ATACMS into Russia and the strategic messaging surrounding the Ukraine conflict.

In this "Best Of" episode which originally aired on October 9th, 2024, Adam, Curtis, and Jim are joined by Jonathan Cefalu, the founder of Preamble. Mr. Cefalu shares insights on enhancing artificial intelligence (AI) trust, specifically in nuclear command, control, and communications (NC3) systems. https://warontherocks.com/2023/04/ai-at-war/

Adam and Curtis discuss possible nuclear deterrence policy under the Trump administration, the potential for increased nuclear participation from allies, and his realist approach to adversaries.

Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss an article advocating for a minimalist approach to nuclear deterrence as a means of cost savings. The hosts discuss the concept of minimum deterrence in nuclear strategy and address misconceptions about the U.S. nuclear arsenal's effectiveness under a minimalist strategy.

Curtis hosts former intelligence officer Jim Klingmeyer as they discuss the recent deployment of North Korean troops to Ukraine, the potential for an AI arms race in national security, and the latest DIA intel report.

In this episode, Adam, Curtis, and Jim discuss the concept of sole authority in nuclear weapons launch decisions, addressing misconceptions and the complexities of the decision-making process. They emphasize the importance of command and control, historical context, and the role of the president while also examining recent legislative proposals that could impact the timeliness of nuclear launch authority.Related Article: America Needs a Dead Hand More than Ever - War on the Rocks

Adam, Curtis, Jim, and special guest Dr. Lani Kass provide insight into the dynamics of Israeli deterrence, the financial aspects of the Middle East conflict, and the challenges Israel faces in restoring its deterrent posture.

In this episode, Curtis and Jim discuss the National Nuclear Security Administration's recent achievement of producing the first plutonium pit in 35 years. They delve into the complex process of their production, the challenges faced in ramping up production to meet future demands, and speculations regarding a recent seismic event in Iran.*Special Note: Sometimes we get it wrong, but we can correct the record. In this podcast, we miscommunicated several points due to outdated data or poor wording. NIDS Fellow, Derek Williams, has provided the following clarifications:The 80 pits per year requirement originates from a GAO report, not the 2018 NPR.Contrary to our statement, DOE/NNSA produced pits at Los Alamos between 2007 and 2011.Deuterium is not radioactive; only Tritium is, with a half-life of 12.33 years.We apologize for any confusion caused and appreciate Derek Williams for the corrections.