What's Not Priced In

To learn about Greg's premium service Fat Tail Investment Advisory go here.For more free research, check out Money Morning Australia.Check out our YouTube Channel https://www.youtube.com/@FatTailInvestmentResearch All content is © Fat Tail Investment Research Pty Ltd All Rights Reserved.We provide general financial product advice only. The advice published by Fat Tail Investment Research has been prepared without taking into account your objectives, financial situations or needs. Before acting on our recommendations, you should consider their appropriateness to your specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs. If you are uncertain as to what your objectives and needs are, you should contact a financial adviser or stockbroker who is licensed to provide you with personal financial product advice.Financial Services GuidePlease keep this guide for future reference. A copy is available from us on request or can be downloaded from our website at fattail.com.au/financial-services-guide/. If you do not understand anything in it, or require more information, please feel free to contact us here.

In this episode, Kiryll Prakapenka grills Fat Tail's small caps expert Callum Newman about Callum's optimistic outlook for Aussie small caps. Topics discussed: Why Greg Canavan called Callum the 'most positive man in finance' Why Callum thinks 'all the ingredients are there for the Aussie stock market to start firing on all cylinders'How macroeconomic conditions inform (or don't inform) Callum's thinkingLatest retail sales data implies a large, annual real per capital decline in retail turnover of ~4.5%. What is the significance? How much of the soft macroeconomic outlook has the market already priced in? Strength of iron ore price and why Callum remains bullish Lessons from the lithium hype cycle Why Callum 'does not give a toss' about the slim equity risk premium Principles of sound small caps investing: focus on businesses growing faster than wider economy 'Astonishing value' in the small caps sector as market continues to misprice solid, profitable businesses Callum's watchlist: Mount Gibson Iron, GQG Partners, Maas Group, Resimac Is the generative AI hype warranted and is there any AI ideas on the ASX? Book recommendations Welcome to Fat Tail Investment Research, your source for fortifying and growing your wealth with insights from leading experts in finance and investing.Join us each week as we roll out fresh videos, tapping into the expertise of top-notch specialists in investing, economics, the stock market, real estate, and personal finance, tailored specifically for our Australian investors.Explore illuminating interviews and in-depth explainer videos unraveling the trends shaping today's Aussie markets, the economy, and your overall portfolio.In these dynamic times, marked by economic shifts, record-low interest rates, growing debt, deficits, and unprecedented stimuli, navigating the evolving landscape is absolutely vital. The rules of investing are undergoing transformation, influencing the ASX, property markets, and various asset prices Down Under. The pressing question remains: Can markets prevail with a sustained ascent, or is a challenging reckoning unavoidable?Let Fat Tail Investment Research be your guide in supporting your portfolio against the uncertainties of the future, whether it's inflation, deflation, a bull market, a bear market, a market correction, a property market shift, an economic boom, a downturn, or another global financial shake-up – our experts cover all conditions to support you.Tap into the collective wisdom of the money and markets experts featured on Fat Tail Investment Research by heading to fattail.com.auSubscribe to our YouTube channel @FatTailInvestmentResearch ===============================All content is © Fat Tail Investment Research Pty Ltd All Rights Reserved.Financial Services Guide======================================Please keep this guide for future reference. A copy is available from us on request or can be downloaded from our website at fattail.com.au/financial-services-guide/. If you do not understand anything in it, or require more information, please feel free to contact usIMPORTANT===============================We provide general financial product advice only. The advice published by Fat Tail Investment Research has been prepared without taking into account your objectives, financial situations or needs. Before acting on our recommendations, you should consider their appropriateness to your specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs. If you are uncertain as to what your objectives and needs are, you should contact a financial adviser or stockbroker who is licensed to provide you with personal financial product...

In the latest episode of What’s Not Priced In, Greg Canavan and Kiryll Prakapenka discuss:- RBA thinks Australia’s inflation is ‘increasingly homegrown and demand driven’- But are ASX retail stocks saying something different?- What do recent updates from Accent Group, Lovisa, Kogan, Temple & Webster, and Nick Scali suggest?- What is going on with Origin Energy?- High cost of capital is forcing investors to get serious about valuations- Now is a good opportunity for investors who can ‘do their homework’- ‘Investing is not about what you believe but what you believe that’s different to what the market believes’- AI is not a substitute for great, creative investment research- Nvidia’s massive beat impressive, but largely priced inTo learn about Greg's premium service Fat Tail Investment Advisory go here.For more free research, check out Money Morning Australia.Check out our YouTube Channel https://www.youtube.com/@FatTailInvestmentResearch All content is © Fat Tail Investment Research Pty Ltd All Rights Reserved.We provide general financial product advice only. The advice published by Fat Tail Investment Research has been prepared without taking into account your objectives, financial situations or needs. Before acting on our recommendations, you should consider their appropriateness to your specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs. If you are uncertain as to what your objectives and needs are, you should contact a financial adviser or stockbroker who is licensed to provide you with personal financial product advice.Financial Services GuidePlease keep this guide for future reference. A copy is available from us on request or can be downloaded from our website at fattail.com.au/financial-services-guide/. If you do not understand anything in it, or require more information, please feel free to contact us here.

In the latest episode of What’s Not Priced In, Greg Canavan and Kiryll Prakapenka discussed:Whether or not the US inflation data was significantAustralia’s historic wages growth and what it means for interest ratesValuations of the Big Four banksThey look cheap, but there’s more to itOutlook for cashed up Aussie gold minersUnappreciated insights from the RBA’s latest StatementHigh mortgage repayments don’t tell the whole storyAccumulated savings offsetting RBA’s rate hikes To learn about Greg's premium service Fat Tail Investment Advisory go here.For more free research, check out Money Morning Australia.Check out our YouTube Channel https://www.youtube.com/@FatTailInvestmentResearch. All content is © Fat Tail Investment Research Pty Ltd All Rights Reserved.We provide general financial product advice only. The advice published by Fat Tail Investment Research has been prepared without taking into account your objectives, financial situations or needs. Before acting on our recommendations, you should consider their appropriateness to your specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs. If you are uncertain as to what your objectives and needs are, you should contact a financial adviser or stockbroker who is licensed to provide you with personal financial product advice.Financial Services GuidePlease keep this guide for future reference. A copy is available from us on request or can be downloaded from our website at fattail.com.au/financial-services-guide/. If you do not understand anything in it, or require more information, please feel free to contact us here.

To learn about Greg's premium service Fat Tail Investment Advisory go here.For more free research, check out Money Morning Australia.Check out our YouTube Channel https://www.youtube.com/@FatTailInvestmentResearch All content is © Fat Tail Investment Research Pty Ltd All Rights Reserved.We provide general financial product advice only. The advice published by Fat Tail Investment Research has been prepared without taking into account your objectives, financial situations or needs. Before acting on our recommendations, you should consider their appropriateness to your specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs. If you are uncertain as to what your objectives and needs are, you should contact a financial adviser or stockbroker who is licensed to provide you with personal financial product advice.Financial Services GuidePlease keep this guide for future reference. A copy is available from us on request or can be downloaded from our website at fattail.com.au/financial-services-guide/. If you do not understand anything in it, or require more information, please feel free to contact us here. 

In this episode of What's Not Priced In, Greg Canavan and Kiryll Prakapenka provide an in-depth examination of the 2023 market to date. They discuss the nuances that suggest this isn't the capitulation low that many are anticipating. Leveraging data-driven insights and expert interviews, the episode offers a thorough analysis for those looking to understand the current market dynamics and what lies ahead in 2023 and beyondWe encourage viewers to subscribe for regular market insights and analysis. For any questions or topics you'd like covered in future episodes, please leave them in the comments section.To learn about Greg's premium service Fat Tail Investment Advisory go here.For more free research, check out Money Morning Australia.Check out our YouTube Channel https://www.youtube.com/@FatTailInvestmentResearch All content is © Fat Tail Investment Research Pty Ltd All Rights Reserved.We provide general financial product advice only. The advice published by Fat Tail Investment Research has been prepared without taking into account your objectives, financial situations or needs. Before acting on our recommendations, you should consider their appropriateness to your specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs. If you are uncertain as to what your objectives and needs are, you should contact a financial adviser or stockbroker who is licensed to provide you with personal financial product advice.Financial Services GuidePlease keep this guide for future reference. A copy is available from us on request or can be downloaded from our website at fattail.com.au/financial-services-guide/. If you do not understand anything in it, or require more information, please feel free to contact us here.

Greg Canavan dives into the current state of the major US and Aussie stock indices in this episode of What’s Not Priced In... The prevailing downtrends are signaling a significant shift, with tight monetary policy already impacting market liquidity.And it’s only just starting. Lacy Hunt’s latest quarterly outlook shows you the US economy is about the hit the wall. This is crucial analysis because despite the recent market weakness, Lacy’s big picture views are certainly not priced in. Prepare for an in-depth exploration as I share key excerpts from his report, providing crucial insights into the potential challenges ahead.Apologies in advance for the verbatim reading of Lacy's report, but the importance of gaining a comprehensive understanding of his foresight cannot be overstated.For those unfamiliar of Lacy, do yourself a favour and read his latest work here: https://fattail.com.au/wp-content/uploads/2023/10/HIM2023Q3NP.pdfFinally, we have a special guest, Ryan Dinse, joining the conversation to shed light on the best-performing global asset in 2023 and why he believes there's more to come. If you want to find out more about what Ryan does, click this link: https://fattail.com.au/editor/ryan-dinse/To learn about Greg's premium service Fat Tail Investment Advisory go here.For more free research, check out Money Morning Australia.Check out our YouTube Channel https://www.youtube.com/@FatTailInvestmentResearch All content is © Fat Tail Investment Research Pty Ltd All Rights Reserved.We provide general financial product advice only. The advice published by Fat Tail Investment Research has been prepared without taking into account your objectives, financial situations or needs. Before acting on our recommendations, you should consider their appropriateness to your specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs. If you are uncertain as to what your objectives and needs are, you should contact a financial adviser or stockbroker who is licensed to provide you with personal financial product advice.Financial Services GuidePlease keep this guide for future reference. A copy is available from us on request or can be downloaded from our website at fattail.com.au/financial-services-guide/. If you do not understand anything in it, or require more information, please feel free to contact us here.

Ready to explore hidden gems in the world of junior miners? Join me in this episode as I interview James Cooper, Fat Tail Investment Research's resident geologist and seasoned commodities expert.James and I delve into the current firesale of junior miners in Australia, dissecting the opportunities and potential risks. Is now the opportune moment to make a move? Find out in this episode of What's Not Priced In.Topics covered in this episode:- The dynamics driving the firesale of junior miners.- James Cooper's expert insights on the current market conditions.- Evaluating whether it's a strategic time to invest in junior miners.- Unveiling potential hidden gems and risks in the junior mining sector.Don't miss this informative discussion that goes beyond the surface and seeks to uncover what’s not priced in to this miner firesale.To learn about Greg's premium service Fat Tail Investment Advisory go here.For more free research, check out Money Morning Australia.Check out our YouTube Channel https://www.youtube.com/@FatTailInvestmentResearch All content is © Fat Tail Investment Research Pty Ltd All Rights Reserved.We provide general financial product advice only. The advice published by Fat Tail Investment Research has been prepared without taking into account your objectives, financial situations or needs. Before acting on our recommendations, you should consider their appropriateness to your specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs. If you are uncertain as to what your objectives and needs are, you should contact a financial adviser or stockbroker who is licensed to provide you with personal financial product advice.Financial Services GuidePlease keep this guide for future reference. A copy is available from us on request or can be downloaded from our website at fattail.com.au/financial-services-guide/. If you do not understand anything in it, or require more information, please feel free to contact us here.

In this special episode of What’s Not Priced In, Greg shares a recent interview he did with South Australian Senator Alex Antic that has previously only been available to our paying subscribers. With another example of the absurdity of the Net Zero push coming from AI, Greg believes it’s time to really drill into whether there is in fact a sound agenda behind this nonsensical energy transition. Enjoy…To learn about Greg's premium service Fat Tail Investment Advisory go here.For more free research, check out Money Morning Australia.Check out our YouTube Channel https://www.youtube.com/@FatTailInvestmentResearch All content is © Fat Tail Investment Research Pty Ltd All Rights Reserved.We provide general financial product advice only. The advice published by Fat Tail Investment Research has been prepared without taking into account your objectives, financial situations or needs. Before acting on our recommendations, you should consider their appropriateness to your specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs. If you are uncertain as to what your objectives and needs are, you should contact a financial adviser or stockbroker who is licensed to provide you with personal financial product advice.Financial Services GuidePlease keep this guide for future reference. A copy is available from us on request or can be downloaded from our website at fattail.com.au/financial-services-guide/. If you do not understand anything in it, or require more information, please feel free to contact us here.

Market jitters. Bond sell-offs. Extreme fear. Rising volatility. Panic at the disco? Panic or not, it’s certainly getting exciting. In the 20th episode of What’s Not Priced In, Greg Canavan and I cover the latest moves in the bond market, the Reserve Bank’s latest decision, fearful market sentiment, and the outlook for key commodities. Greg thinks markets are not at a capitulation low just yet and more volatility is in store. So is this a time for panic? Not necessarily. For the steadfast investor, now is a great time to look for discounts. To learn about Greg's premium service Fat Tail Investment Advisory go here.For more free research, check out Money Morning Australia.Check out our YouTube Channel https://www.youtube.com/@FatTailInvestmentResearch All content is © Fat Tail Investment Research Pty Ltd All Rights Reserved.We provide general financial product advice only. The advice published by Fat Tail Investment Research has been prepared without taking into account your objectives, financial situations or needs. Before acting on our recommendations, you should consider their appropriateness to your specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs. If you are uncertain as to what your objectives and needs are, you should contact a financial adviser or stockbroker who is licensed to provide you with personal financial product advice.Financial Services GuidePlease keep this guide for future reference. A copy is available from us on request or can be downloaded from our website at fattail.com.au/financial-services-guide/. If you do not understand anything in it, or require more information, please feel free to contact us here.